Interesting Draft vs W/L Improvement Data. . . . . .
Aug 23, 2024 9:23:10 GMT -7
cbltv and MT Diesel like this
Post by fightingfalcon on Aug 23, 2024 9:23:10 GMT -7
Having a minor need to waste time, and intrigued by somebody's lament that the media doesn't realize how much better the Cardinals are going to be this year because of their outstanding draft class, I started to wonder. . . . Just how much does having a high draft position help a team's W/L record the same year as the draft?
And so I asked ChapGPT, and they told me it was an interesting question and it would require them to access some database they presumably can't access or something like that.
So I thought I would check with Mr. Google myself, and enlist the help of Mr. Excel to record, for the last ten years, how teams that drafted at each position fared the same year -- as compared to the previous year.
I thought the results were interesting. For teams with the #1 draft pick, the year they made the pick they won, on average, 2.4 games more than they won the previous year.
Teams with the second draft pick won 3.2 more games, and teams with the third draft pick won, on average, two more games.
The teams fortunate to have the fourth overall pick of the draft won an average of 4.6 more games than the previous year -- the most of any draft position.
As might be expected, the average W/L change dropped to zero at draft choice 14.
There were a couple of interesting blips on the graph -- the teams selected at the 28th position won, on average, 4.1 fewer games then they had in the previous.
And for whatever reason, teams picking 32nd won on average 1.6 more games than they had the previous year!
Here, for your time-wasting enjoyment, is a graph of the results. . . . Click on the graph to get a full screen view.
And so I asked ChapGPT, and they told me it was an interesting question and it would require them to access some database they presumably can't access or something like that.
So I thought I would check with Mr. Google myself, and enlist the help of Mr. Excel to record, for the last ten years, how teams that drafted at each position fared the same year -- as compared to the previous year.
I thought the results were interesting. For teams with the #1 draft pick, the year they made the pick they won, on average, 2.4 games more than they won the previous year.
Teams with the second draft pick won 3.2 more games, and teams with the third draft pick won, on average, two more games.
The teams fortunate to have the fourth overall pick of the draft won an average of 4.6 more games than the previous year -- the most of any draft position.
As might be expected, the average W/L change dropped to zero at draft choice 14.
There were a couple of interesting blips on the graph -- the teams selected at the 28th position won, on average, 4.1 fewer games then they had in the previous.
And for whatever reason, teams picking 32nd won on average 1.6 more games than they had the previous year!
Here, for your time-wasting enjoyment, is a graph of the results. . . . Click on the graph to get a full screen view.
